
I didn't want to wait around long enough to get that high of deltas, so I started by buying in four 45-47.5 call verticals this morning at 10am, cutting the deltas roughly in half. Then TEVA continued a long, steady climb up, so I bought 3 more verticals at 1pm, again cutting the deltas roughly in half. At one point this morning, I was down around 25%, which is a max loss point. I was watching my P&L jump all over the place, obviously due to the leg IV's jumping around. It was apparent that the 45 calls were bid up with people covering like myself, but I don't understand why all the air got let out of my 42.5's. That's what really hurt this trade. The current position is shown below after things settled out. Deltas at -207 (TOS says -108...which to believe?) and P&L at a more reasonable -17%. You can see how the trade currently looks below.

I guess the plan is if TEVA continues up, I'll buy in more spreads, and look at selling some 47.5-50 spreads to get theta pumped back up. Or just throw in the towel with a max loss. We'll see.
I was also concerned with RUT's gigantic move up. My iron condors are both in great shape, but my 490 butterfly was a bit short delta, so I added a single Jun 550 call to help that out.
Chad - What is your profit if you remove all the 45 - 47.50 spreads? That is what I call the ultimate adjustment. Plan to take the 45 - 47.50 off in a way that the remainder profit in the 42.50-45 spread is close to a 1/3 of your originall planned profit. That way the trade was not successfull but did not burn a hole.
ReplyDeleteE.
Hey E,
ReplyDeleteIf I took off all the 45-47.5 spreads right now ($1.43 debit), I'd have about a 20% profit left at expiration, with a $44.8 breakeven point. But that would leave me long 316 delta, and if TEVA pulled back to 45, I'd be down 50%. Not a good place to be!
Futures are down a little, 1 hour before open today. Here's to a small pullback!
Chad